This article was originally published at 3:05 p.m. CDT on Monday, June 2. It was last updated with additional information at 4:01 p.m. CDT on Monday, June 2.
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OMAHA (DTN) -- The condition of the U.S. soybean crop is 67% rated good-to-excellent in its first condition rating of the season this week, according to USDA NASS's weekly Crop Progress report released on Monday.
Planting progress and development also remain slightly ahead of last year's pace for both corn and soybeans, NASS said.
Several weather systems will bring rain to much of the U.S. this week, though exact forecasts remain uncertain as models struggle to track all systems accurately, according to DTN Ag Meteorologist John Baranick.
CORN
-- Planting progress: 93% of corn was planted nationwide as of Sunday, 3 points ahead of 90% last year and consistent with the five-year average. "Top producing corn state Iowa remains ahead of average at 97% complete, while Illinois is 93% planted and Minnesota 99% done," noted DTN Senior Analyst Dana Mantini. "Ohio and Pennsylvania are lagging at just 72% and 64% planted."
-- Crop development: 78% of corn had emerged Sunday, 6 points ahead of last year's 72% and 1 point ahead of the five-year average of 77%.
-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 69% of the crop was in good-to-excellent condition, up 1 point from 68% the previous week, but 6 points below last year's 75%. "Iowa is at 84% and Illinois at 62% good-to-excellent," Mantini said.
SOYBEANS
-- Planting progress: Soybean planting moved ahead 8 points last week to reach 84% complete as of Sunday. That was 7 percentage points ahead of last year's 77% and 4 percentage points ahead of the five-year average of 80%. "Iowa, Minnesota and Nebraska range from 95% to 97% done," Mantini said. "Illinois is at 86% and Ohio has just 66% planted."
-- Crop development: 63% of soybeans had emerged as of Sunday, 10 points ahead of last year's 53% and 6 points ahead of the five-year average of 57%.
-- Crop condition: In its initial rating of this year's soybean crop, NASS estimated 67% of the soybeans that had emerged were in good-to-excellent condition and just 5% were very-poor-to-poor.
WINTER WHEAT
-- Crop condition: An estimated 52% of winter wheat was rated good-to-excellent as of June 1, up 2 points from 50% the previous week and 3 points ahead from 49% a year ago.
-- Harvest progress: 3% of the nation's winter wheat crop was harvested as of Sunday, 2 points ahead of last year's 5% and consistent with the five-year average. Texas' winter wheat harvest is at 25% complete, which is 6 points behind last year's pace of 31% and 2 points behind the five-year average of 27%.
-- Crop development: 83% of winter wheat was headed nationwide as of Sunday. That's 1 percentage point ahead of last year's 82% and 4 percentage points ahead of the five-year average. Top winter-wheat-producer Kansas' crop was 96% headed, 1 point behind last year at this time and 2 points ahead of the five-year average.
SPRING WHEAT
-- Planting progress: 95% of spring wheat was planted as of Sunday, 2 points ahead of 93% last year and 5 points ahead of the five-year average of 90%. "Minnesota is 100% planted, while North Dakota is 94% planted," Mantini said.
-- Crop development: 73% of spring wheat has emerged, 3 points behind 76% last year but 4 points ahead of the five-year average of 69%.
-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 50% of the crop was in good-to-excellent condition nationwide, up 5 points from 45% the previous week. However, it is still significantly lower than last year's rating of 74% good-to-excellent. "Minnesota is 85% good-to-excellent, while North Dakota is just 48% good-to-excellent," Mantini said.
THE WEEK AHEAD IN WEATHER
Multiple weather systems will create an active pattern across most of the U.S. this week, though forecasting specifics remains a challenge as models struggle to accurately track all systems, according to DTN Ag Meteorologist John Baranick.
"It looks like another busy week of weather across the country," Baranick said. "We've got multiple disturbances, the remnants of an old tropical storm from the Eastern Pacific, fronts stalling and starting, and a couple of normal systems moving through that should make for an overall active week of weather across the vast majority of the U.S.
"With all these systems, your local forecast is likely to change throughout the week as models don't have a really good handle on all of them. Trying to figure out the specifics of who gets what, when, and how much is a difficult task this week. That said, the zones looking to sort of miss out are the Northern Plains, which outside of Monday will only get spotty showers the rest of the week, the western Gulf Coast, and the Mid-Atlantic. We could see some of these areas getting drier and that could put some strain on crop conditions. Areas that should get the most rainfall this week are from the Central Plains through the Midwest. Most of these areas really need the rain, but some across the southern edge, specifically those from Oklahoma through the Ohio Valley, do not. These areas could trend wetter or drier based on where one of these fronts stall this week though, so it's sort of a tossup. But we're delaying our hot and dry summer forecast another week, probably two or even more, and that should be an overall benefit to most areas."
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To view weekly crop progress reports issued by National Ag Statistics Service offices in individual states, visit http://www.nass.usda.gov/…. Look for the U.S. map in the "Find Data and Reports by" section and choose the state you wish to view in the drop-down menu. Then look for that state's "Crop Progress & Condition" report.
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Editor's Note: How are your crops looking? Are they better, worse or right on track with USDA NASS' observations this week? Send us your comments, and we'll include them in next week's Crop Progress report story. You can email comments to talk@dtn.com. Please include the location of where you farm.
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National Crop Progress Summary |
|
This |
Last |
Last |
5-Year |
|
Week |
Week |
Year |
Avg. |
Corn Planted |
93 |
87 |
90 |
93 |
Corn Emerged |
78 |
67 |
72 |
77 |
Soybeans Planted |
85 |
76 |
77 |
80 |
Soybeans Emerged |
63 |
50 |
53 |
57 |
Winter Wheat Headed |
83 |
75 |
82 |
79 |
Winter Wheat Harvested |
3 |
NA |
5 |
3 |
Spring Wheat Planted |
95 |
87 |
93 |
90 |
Spring Wheat Emerged |
73 |
60 |
76 |
69 |
Cotton Planted |
66 |
52 |
68 |
69 |
Cotton Squaring |
8 |
3 |
8 |
7 |
Sorghum Planted |
46 |
39 |
50 |
48 |
Oats Planted |
97 |
94 |
96 |
95 |
Oats Emerged |
86 |
81 |
86 |
84 |
Oats Headed |
33 |
29 |
32 |
29 |
Barley Planted |
90 |
82 |
93 |
92 |
Barley Emerged |
71 |
58 |
72 |
72 |
Rice Planted |
97 |
93 |
99 |
97 |
Rice Emerged |
88 |
82 |
87 |
85 |
Peanuts Planted |
81 |
69 |
80 |
80 |
Sunflowers Planted |
41 |
24 |
35 |
36 |
**
|
|
National Crop Condition Summary |
(VP=Very Poor; P=Poor; F=Fair; G=Good; E=Excellent) |
|
This Week |
|
Last Week |
|
Last Year |
|
VP |
P |
F |
G |
E |
|
VP |
P |
F |
G |
E |
|
VP |
P |
F |
G |
E |
Corn |
1 |
4 |
26 |
57 |
12 |
|
1 |
4 |
27 |
56 |
12 |
|
1 |
3 |
21 |
60 |
15 |
Soybeans |
1 |
4 |
28 |
58 |
9 |
|
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
|
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
Winter Wheat |
6 |
12 |
30 |
44 |
8 |
|
6 |
13 |
31 |
43 |
7 |
|
6 |
12 |
33 |
41 |
8 |
Spring Wheat |
NA |
13 |
37 |
47 |
3 |
|
3 |
15 |
37 |
43 |
2 |
|
NA |
2 |
24 |
69 |
5 |
Rice |
1 |
4 |
20 |
53 |
22 |
|
1 |
4 |
18 |
53 |
24 |
|
1 |
1 |
17 |
67 |
14 |
Oats |
6 |
8 |
36 |
44 |
6 |
|
6 |
8 |
35 |
44 |
7 |
|
4 |
5 |
23 |
58 |
10 |
Barley |
1 |
9 |
47 |
42 |
1 |
|
2 |
11 |
44 |
42 |
1 |
|
NA |
5 |
21 |
70 |
4 |
Cotton |
8 |
14 |
29 |
44 |
5 |
|
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
|
3 |
5 |
31 |
54 |
7 |
Peanuts |
2 |
5 |
28 |
59 |
6 |
|
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
|
1 |
3 |
33 |
58 |
5 |
EllaMae Reiff can be reached at ellamae.reiff@dtn.com
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